pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #129077 - Ignore pthomas215 |
6/10/2016 8:31:46 PM
shillihs, I think you are correct on the market recovering a bit. my argument is based on fundamental analysis but we have a volatile environment now and Janet Yellen is most likely forced to come out mid week next week and say the fed will not raise rates. they cant raise rates and then re neg on it. my guess is were going to see a nice Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
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shillllihs 6,047 posts msg #129078 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/10/2016 11:06:09 PM
My prediction is play Tmf for a few days then back to Xiv.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #129079 - Ignore pthomas215 |
6/10/2016 11:38:06 PM
awesome. Thank you. have safe travels.
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four 5,087 posts msg #129103 - Ignore four |
6/12/2016 9:16:52 PM
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ahcsim72 151 posts msg #129118 - Ignore ahcsim72 |
6/13/2016 2:50:31 PM
My filter predicted TVIX and XIV moves 100% accurately. TVIX has been very good last 2 trading days :)
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shillllihs 6,047 posts msg #129120 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/13/2016 3:15:54 PM
We are in Zakynthos!!
Bail TMF when weekly IFT(2,1) dips below .90 and go long XIV. This will be a short term dip.
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shillllihs 6,047 posts msg #129121 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/13/2016 4:24:26 PM
Actually, I meant to say the Xiv phase will be short. We'll have several weeks of TMF.
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ThaGekko 139 posts msg #129122 - Ignore ThaGekko |
6/13/2016 4:33:45 PM
Shillllihs the weekly data can be so delayed... how are you working it when it goes up all week, then tanks Thursday/Friday triggering what looks like should have been a sale multiple days ago?
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shillllihs 6,047 posts msg #129123 - Ignore shillllihs |
6/13/2016 4:52:55 PM
This time I took a little hit on exit but it usually is not that bad for me. I have other personal entry exit strategies. One thing you can do is start scaling out of your position. As I said before, in general
I don't use Weekly IFT(2,1).
If you would have gone long Tvix today, you would have been up 28%. Then you could
Have scaled out or switched to Vxx. My system puts me in Tmf and later kicks into Tvix but
Sometimes bypasses and jumps into Xiv. Gotta sleep it's midnight here.
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ThaGekko 139 posts msg #129124 - Ignore ThaGekko |
6/13/2016 5:10:30 PM
I chickened out this morning. I bought VXX Calls for .57 Friday before the close. I sold them for ~.80 at the beginning of the day for ~25% gain. They are now worth $2.08 or something like that - I seriously missed the boat today because I don't trust the weekly IFT(2,1). Could've been a 258% gain today... dangit.
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