johnpaulca 12,036 posts msg #126903 - Ignore johnpaulca |
1/25/2016 4:35:06 PM
johnpaulca
9,382 posts
msg #126870 1/22/2016 5:43:57 PM
Most traders will short the bounce.
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SPY...We all knew this bounce would be shorted...back to 182 with a bounce at about 185
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126906 - Ignore karennma modified |
1/25/2016 5:12:32 PM
And the losers are:
DJI -208
DJT -126
IXIC -72
SPX -29
And the winners are:
DWTI +$70.
YANG +$10.
ERY +$4.86
RUSS +$5
TZA +$3.93
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126930 - Ignore karennma |
1/26/2016 10:26:16 AM
SPX broke benchmark signal a week ago 1812.
We are officially in a bear market.
Shudda been in YANG & DWTI in April 2015 .... a little late imho ... so here are the Real Estate ETFs, which are still cheap (all in double-digits as opposed to triple).
SRS (Proshares)
DRV (Direxion)
HBZ (new, no history) (Proshares)
REK (Proshares)
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126931 - Ignore karennma |
1/26/2016 10:27:21 AM
I hope RE crashes hard. Worse than 2008.
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126933 - Ignore karennma |
1/26/2016 10:36:52 AM
The low on HBZ was Oct 5, 2015 @ $15.22
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126934 - Ignore karennma |
1/26/2016 10:43:00 AM
Today's prices:
SRS $48.50 (2X inverse of DJ US RE Index)
REK $20.18 (Inverse of DJ US RE Index)
DRV $21.12 (Inverse of US REIT Index)
HBZ $24.53 (Homebuilders & Suppliers)
Now if Velocity came out with a 3X, that would be my inverse ETF of choice.
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126935 - Ignore karennma modified |
1/26/2016 11:22:57 AM
Sale of Single Family homes peaked in Jan 2015. Look at 5-year chart and draw trend line from Jan 2015 to current.
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/HSN1F
Ha! U don't have to look at 5 yr. Just look at ONE-year chart.
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126938 - Ignore karennma |
1/26/2016 12:07:12 PM
But for a housing crash, you need prices to go down ...
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MSPNHSUS
Banks already have problems ... see ..
Moving in the right direction.
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graftonian 1,089 posts msg #126960 - Ignore graftonian |
1/26/2016 6:19:37 PM
Three out of the last four days buying UWTI in the pre-market and selling early has increased my "beer money" account. I may die hungry but not thirsty.
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karennma 8,057 posts msg #126964 - Ignore karennma |
1/27/2016 8:49:10 AM
Sweet!
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