StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Find Upcoming stocks and holding long<< 1 2 3 >>Post Follow-up
redversa721
157 posts
msg #157017
Ignore redversa721
6/17/2021 12:52:00 PM

here is a strategy that I checked out. The idea is to get real good quality stocks that are undervalued and have hit a sudden price pressure. I am going to keep posting in this thread and see how it goes over the next few years.

Condition to look for:
Average Volume, mln Is Greater Than .3Mill
Price / Book Is > 0 and Less Than 1
Price / Cash Flow Is > 0 and Less Than 1
Price / Free Cash Flow > 0 and Is Less Than 10
Price / Sales Is Less Than 2
Profit Margin to Ind, % Is Greater Than 20
Pre-Tax Profit Margin Is Greater Than 15
New 252-Bar Low
Buy at Close


Exit condition
Initial Capital: $10,000
Capital at Risk: 10% per trade
Portfolio Max Size: 10 positions
Comm. per Trade: $0.00
Avg Bid-Ask Spread: 0.02%

Trailing Stop Loss: 49%
Take Profit: 600%


Final Results
Total Profit: $30,588
Total Trades: 24
Capital Growth: 306%
Profit Trades, % of Total: 58%
Profit Factor: [?] 6.98
Avg Trade Duration, days: 123
Payoff Ratio: [?] 4.98
Avg Profit per Trade: 100%
Max Drawdown: 24%
Avg Profit per Day: 0.81%
Max Drawdown, $: 5,456
Restoration Factor: [?] 5.61
Avg Annual Return: 34.6%

Results

Symbol Entry Date Entry Price, $ Exit Date Exit Price, $ Shares Profit, $ Exit On MI [?]
TNK 10/28/2020 9.35 06/17/2021 14.26 150 736.07 Period End Minor
TK 10/21/2020 2.04 06/17/2021 3.74 688 1,169.09 Period End Minor
SAN 09/21/2020 1.92 06/17/2021 4.01 741 1,548.10 Period End Minor
SHIP 08/18/2020 0.546 02/23/2021 1.244 2,549 1,779.33 Stop Loss Minor
SHIP 08/12/2020 1.34 08/18/2020 0.564 1,102 -855.28 Stop Loss Minor
CTRM 08/03/2020 1.98 02/11/2021 15.90 746 10,381.95 Take Profit Minor
CBL 07/23/2020 0.188 09/24/2020 0.165 7,876 -178.26 Stop Loss Minor
MITT 04/03/2020 1.63 04/24/2020 2.387 774 585.39 Stop Loss Minor
GGAL 03/19/2020 6.10 09/21/2020 7.619 206 312.68 Stop Loss Minor
AEL 03/18/2020 11.44 06/17/2021 31.94 110 2,254.30 Period End Minor
HESM 03/18/2020 5.67 06/17/2021 25.68 222 4,441.08 Period End Minor
NBLX 03/18/2020 3.15 07/08/2020 7.079 400 1,570.95 Stop Loss Minor
SND 03/17/2020 0.729 06/17/2021 2.84 2,001 4,223.17 Period End Minor
NBLX 03/16/2020 4.61 03/18/2020 2.484 316 -672.07 Stop Loss Minor
AEL 03/09/2020 18.50 03/18/2020 11.123 78 -575.57 Stop Loss Minor
GLOP 02/24/2020 3.70 03/18/2020 1.938 413 -727.87 Stop Loss Minor
CEIX 01/28/2020 8.59 02/24/2020 5.365 185 -596.79 Stop Loss Minor
AR 11/13/2019 2.37 02/26/2020 1.561 639 -517.41 Stop Loss Minor
VRS 08/23/2019 9.92 04/03/2020 9.94 153 2.74 Stop Loss Minor
CRC 08/15/2019 8.91 10/08/2019 8.34 179 -102.33 Stop Loss Minor
DNR 08/05/2019 0.97 02/25/2020 0.857 1,645 -186.50 Stop Loss Minor
VRS 05/23/2019 17.81 08/23/2019 9.894 89 -704.70 Stop Loss Minor
TOO 05/20/2019 1.06 01/22/2020 1.55 1,505 736.98 Period End Minor
CRC 08/04/2017 7.05 09/28/2018 49.35 141 5,962.91 Take Profit

https://imgur.com/rjItU4K

Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #157018
Ignore Cheese
6/17/2021 2:30:38 PM

Thank you, red
For those of us who want to get rich the lazy way,
would you have a live link to this screen?

Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #157020
Ignore Cheese
6/17/2021 2:53:12 PM

This is a very crude emulation of the redversa721 screen above

https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&f=fa_netmargin_o10,fa_pb_u1,fa_pfcf_u5,fa_ps_u2,sh_avgvol_o2000&ft=3

Suggestions for improvement most welcome.

Thank you.

redversa721
157 posts
msg #157022
Ignore redversa721
6/17/2021 4:03:41 PM

Thanks Cheese. Yes I will try to make the same in finviz as well.

Here is a updated strategy where the output can make 1% a day on average
Exact same strategy as above, but average volume > 0.2 MM and stock price < 3
SL and take profit is different as well

Condition to look for:
Average Volume, mln Is Greater Than .2Mill
Price / Book Is > 0 and Less Than 1
Price / Cash Flow Is > 0 and Less Than 1
Price / Free Cash Flow > 0 and Is Less Than 10
Price / Sales Is Less Than 2
Profit Margin to Ind, % Is Greater Than 20
Pre-Tax Profit Margin Is Greater Than 15
New 252-Bar Low
Buy at Close
close < 3


Exit condition
Initial Capital: $10,000
Capital at Risk: 10% per trade
Portfolio Max Size: 10 positions
Comm. per Trade: $0.00
Avg Bid-Ask Spread: 0.02%

Trailing Stop Loss: 80%
Take Profit: 880%

Total Profit: $27,289
Total Trades: 11
Capital Growth: 273%
Profit Trades, % of Total: 73%
Profit Factor: [?] 20.51
Avg Trade Duration, days: 235
Payoff Ratio: [?] 7.69
Avg Profit per Trade: 247%
Max Drawdown: 24%
Avg Profit per Day: 1.05%
Max Drawdown, $: 3,757
Restoration Factor: [?] 7.26
Avg Annual Return: 63%


Symbol Entry Date Entry Price Exit Date Exit Price Shares Profit Exit On
SAN 9/21/20 1.92 6/17/21 4.03 503 1060.92 Period End
SHIP 8/12/20 1.34 6/17/21 1.2 721 -101.11 Period End
CTRM 8/3/20 1.98 2/11/21 19.404 488 8501.02 Take Profit
CBL 7/23/20 0.188 11/2/20 0.089 5154 -506.21 Period End
MITT 4/3/20 1.63 6/17/21 4.55 593 1731.02 Period End
OMP 3/18/20 2.83 5/27/21 27.734 369 9187.53 Take Profit
SND 3/17/20 0.729 6/17/21 2.88 1435 3086 Period End
GLOP 3/6/20 2.8 6/17/21 3.15 373 130.32 Period End
AR 11/13/19 2.37 6/17/21 13.13 421 4528.85 Period End
DNR 8/5/19 0.97 3/30/20 0.202 1030 -791.49 Stop Loss
TOO 5/20/19 1.06 1/22/20 1.55 943 461.78 Period End

The problem I have is that even if I run from 2010, the first stock pickup is from 2019. So that's worrying why this does not have any picks from the year before and also what if the last three years are the exception.

Also the TSL for this one is too high at 80% for me.








redversa721
157 posts
msg #157024
Ignore redversa721
6/17/2021 4:07:20 PM

hey Cheese

I will just post the picks as and when they come here before EOD. It will be a good group exercise to see where this ends up. I only have a crappy laptop.hahah. I think financial metrics is sorely lacking in SF at moments like this.

Also if someone can replicate this in any other software and show us the backtest before 2019 that would be great.

Nobody
404 posts
msg #157033
Ignore Nobody
6/18/2021 11:15:11 AM

Thank you redversa721 and Cheese.

Very much looking forward to this Thread. Happy Friday Everyone

Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #157034
Ignore Cheese
6/18/2021 12:11:54 PM

WARNING: TRADE OR INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISKS. I ASSUME NO LIABILITY.

I created the FinViz screen above using very limited features available to non-paid guests
That FinViz screen has zero value, zero credibility, and huge risk.
So far, it picked one microcap in China. Very risky and untrustworthy.

Problem with using funnymentals to trade and/or invest is that we blindly trust accountees
who bend the rules to please their CEOs in order to keep their jobs. Think Nortel, Enron,
WorldComm in countries like USA and Canada. Even in developed countries, from time to time,
executives jumped out the windows or parked their cars on active rail tracks.

In countries like China and India, it could be worse. Some companies keep three sets of books.


redversa721
157 posts
msg #157035
Ignore redversa721
6/18/2021 12:41:51 PM

That's a great caveat Cheese.
Also with regard to the finviz screener, some of the parameters i screen for is >0 and < 1, which is unavailable in the free finviz screener. I have the elite version which I really seldom use that allows custom and range screeners.

So it's a good point that everyone who is following any recommendations do not use the finviz screener unless you have the elite product where you can further enhance and make it similar to what I have in original post.

redversa721
157 posts
msg #157191
Ignore redversa721
7/8/2021 9:40:40 AM

first pick bcs
07/08/21

redversa721
157 posts
msg #157192
Ignore redversa721
7/8/2021 11:06:55 AM

Wanted to update
Entry Value BCS at 9.28 on 07/08/21

Exit conditions : Trailing stop 49%
Take profit :600%

StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Find Upcoming stocks and holding long<< 1 2 3 >>Post Follow-up

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