MARY4MONEY
806 posts
msg #62911
- Ignore MARY4MONEY
modified |
5/21/2008 6:49:54 PM
1.. macd(2,3,1) daily 2. daily rsi(2) 3. weekly rsi(2) 4. monthly rsi(2) 5 wm% to find most profitable stocks to trade-------set{wm%,weekly atr(8)/weekly ma(8)} 5. 20d(which is the % from the 20ma- 0.85 is 15% below-----1.15 is 15% above the ma 20) set{20d,close/ma(20)} 6. volume spike set{v%,volume/average volume(50)}-- this is all you need period one other thing-- block trades on tradetrek.com- to determine buying and selling of the smart money who control the stock market---and if the close is above 200 ma and you get a stock that the 20d is <0.85 and the weekly rsi(2) is <5% this greatly increases your indicator % winners- also being optionable helps too-- today appeared to be the bottom reversal of the nasdaq or qqqq-- daily rsi(2) at 4.8% at its low of 48.12 today(and you need to read these values in realtime as they happen) the macd(2,3,1) was at- 0.20 just about the same reading as the last 4-5 qqqq lows-on the intraday if you want to know if a bottom is being put in on your low 5% rsi(2)- then you set up a 1 minute chart with a rsi(10) and look for a big pos divergence which you got near the 48.20 level- at 49.20 yesterday you got a big negative divergence at 49.20 indicating the qqqq was heading for support near the 200ma which was at 48.10 today- we also had a perfect round bottom on the bottom of intraday i minute graph . the block trades are very very important in determining if the stock is reversing or continuing up- also great indicator of if a fda merger or good or bad earning will happen-- you can make really big money using the block trades off earnings- i can give you 100 s of examples because the site allows you to go back for the last year s block trades- the bigger and more dollar value of the block trades- ususally the bigger a move will be depending on the stocks wm%-- if you had been checking about a year ago on the block trades on aqnt about the 16th of may- you would of seen a giant spike in the block trade volume-100 times normal- so you buy the june 07 45 calls for 0.05 while the stock was at 35$- the rumor was msft was going to buy them out-- so 2 days later msft did buy them- and the stock went to 64$ making those 45 june calls worth 20$ or a 40000% gain in 1 day- same thing happened on rimm before its earning last june 28th- on the 26tj of june it had fallen to an rsi(2) of 2% at its low at 162- i gave the alert to buy the july 17-220 calls manly bercause at 163 on the 27th there was a 88 million dollar buy- stock went 216 4 days later and eventual to 235 before july exp- making those 220 call that were 0.05 worth 15$-- ldk had made a big drop from the oct 07 high of 77 to 25$ on b ogus news on its polysilicon inventory- after being <30$ for about a week- suddenly big block trades buys appeared on 11-30-07 at 29$ a week later is was at 47 and then 75 eventaully and all the way up there was buying mostly in ah(you want to check the ah big block trades 1600-1700 on stocks you are in-this will usually tell you if the stoc is going to continue up or reverse) so on 12-17-7 we get to 75$ top of daily and weekly rsi(2)- then we see big block sells for the first time and it falls to 45 4 days later- i will give you maybe 10 more examples of block trades and mainly earnings plays later
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MARY4MONEY
806 posts
msg #62915
- Ignore MARY4MONEY
modified |
5/21/2008 9:01:22 PM
csco earnings on 11-7-07(which matched the market top reversal- on the weekly rsi(2) the qqqq was 99% and aapl and rimm were at 100%-)and csco was 99.9% during the day of nov 7th- there were 5 million shares in block trades sold and 1 million bought indicating bad earnings- so the play while csco was at 33.50 at 1500- was to short csco or buy the 30 and 27.5 nov 07 puts- it had bad earnings and fill to 28 4 days later- on 10-02-07 after akam had fallen 54-26 on bad earnings the month before- then out of the blue there were 3 block trades totaling 88 million dollars at about 28.50- here they are off tradetrek.com-----2007-10-02 11:38 28.450 2,029,800 57,747,812.00 $ ---- 7 days it was at 40$-what happens is that people who know the news before it comes out- buy these blocks
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MARY4MONEY
806 posts
msg #62916
- Ignore MARY4MONEY |
5/21/2008 9:14:53 PM
mos on earning on 1-9--08 - it fill to about 81 about 30 minutes before earnings-then the big block buys came in for >50 million dollars at about 82- your play was to either mos at 82 or play the jan 100-110 calls-since this stock really moves up on good earnings- it had great earnings closed at 89 and in ah a 500k buy- next day it went to 99$- in ah a 350k buy- next day it went TO 109 AND IN AH THERE WERE 600K SELLS- so you shorted it here- next day it closed at 103 and during the day you would of bought the jan 80-75 puts- 3 day later i went <77--- an interesting thing happens in about 80% of the pre earning daily rsi-2 if its >80% it had bad earnings and if it <30% easpecially under 10% you get good earnings--it has really worked well on these solar stocks-- big block buys at 29 before ldk went to 75 solf at 12$ before it went to 40$ and at 13$ before it went to 28 this week csiq at 8$ before it went to 32$ and csiq at 18$ before it went to 49 this week- in all casaes there were big block trades before all these stocks made there big moves up
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WALLSTREETGENIUS
983 posts
msg #62925
- Ignore WALLSTREETGENIUS
modified |
5/22/2008 12:38:00 AM
- DELETED BY THEMIGHTYRIGGS HIMSELF -
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Fishman
3 posts
msg #62929
- Ignore Fishman |
5/22/2008 2:28:07 AM
Hi Mary. Thanks for the informative posts. Can you please give the actual filter? I'm having trouble getting the syntax to work.
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chetron
2,817 posts
msg #62932
- Ignore chetron
modified |
5/22/2008 6:36:52 AM
CLICKABLE?
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maxreturn
745 posts
msg #62940
- Ignore maxreturn
modified |
5/22/2008 9:44:38 AM
Mary, what site do you reference for big block trades? Also, would you or anyone else happen to know where to find stocks which trade AH? Thanks:
Quote from MARY4MONEY:
i can give you 100 s of examples because the site allows you to go back for the last year s block trades-
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WALLSTREETGENIUS
983 posts
msg #62943
- Ignore WALLSTREETGENIUS
modified |
5/22/2008 10:31:48 AM
- DELETED BY THEMIGHTYRIGGS HIMSELF -
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LanceHay
6 posts
msg #63097
- Ignore LanceHay |
5/28/2008 2:01:53 PM
Now how would you do that same filter with price above 10 and volume above 1,000,000? I keep trying to add it, but get the dread "DeBug" notice?
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maxreturn
745 posts
msg #63108
- Ignore maxreturn |
5/28/2008 6:01:54 PM
Riggs, yeah dude. That's why I "hedged" my bet by asking others for input. LOL!
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