StockFetcher Forums · Filter Exchange · nflx could of made you rich today<< 1 2 >>Post Follow-up
optionplayer333
801 posts
msg #110541
- Ignore optionplayer333		 1/25/2013 11:48:29 AM

here this one little hint will make you when +80% on earnings> for calls you want the stock near its 1-3 month high and for puts 1-3 low preferably one that are >15% from either the high or low

before earnings here are some examples
stock 3 month low 3 month high %gain
nflx 55 103 +84%

coh nflx infa cree scss aapl were all>

you also want stocks that move >10% average after earnings> you can screen for this on optionslam.com the ownere is giving a webinar on 1-26 at 1100 am eastern if you want to learn how to use the site>

you also want to calculate the implied move after earnings by dividing the nearest straddle or strangle cost by the stock price

To assess the price move expected by the market OptionSlam uses the current straddle/strangle pricing model. Presuming the rules of supply and demand provide for an efficient marketplace, we ascertain the expected price move will be approximately equal to the cost of the current straddle. Once an earnings date is confirmed OptionSlam begins to track the price of the ATM Straddle. Each day until the earnings date we apply our formula to determine the implied price move in advance. We don't know which way price is going to move after earnings but with this information we have a market based calculation of how far it is expected to move in one direction or the other. The IM (implied move) is a crucial piece of the puzzle when developing trade strategy and positioning. Go here for more information on the Implied Move.

Nflx was +18% move aapl was a -10% move cree was a +22% move

you casn go back and lokk at thinback tab under9( analyze) options on thinkorswim charts and see what happened to the stock vs it's actual % move> you can do this any time on any stocknear the close lets look at the spy and nflx from yesterday

spy close at 149.42 on 1-24 149.5 call was 0.36 and the 149.5 put was 0.32= 0.68/149.41= a +0.46% move and the up is based on the call being more exopensive than the put> high today 150.11/149.41= +041%

for nflx close on 1-24 146.86 when doing weeklies on thursdays you have to use the following weeklies to make your calculation for friday of 1-25-2012 150put> 7.30 = 145 call>8.15=15.45/147.86= 11% move up high today is 170/147= =15% move up
so knowing this info at 1545 yesterday you would of gotten the wekly 155 calls for 0.30(high 15$) or 160 weekly calls for 0.10 (hogh 10$ for either a 5000% or 10000% gain in 2 actual trading hours



optionplayer333
801 posts
msg #110542
- Ignore optionplayer333		 1/25/2013 11:50:53 AM

here this one little hint will make you when +80% on earnings> for calls you want the stock near its 1-3 month high and for puts 1-3 low preferably one that are >15% from either the high or low

before earnings here are some examples
stock 3 month low 3 month high %gain
nflx 55 103 +84%

coh nflx infa cree scss aapl were all>

you also want stocks that move >10% average after earnings> you can screen for this on optionslam.com the ownere is giving a webinar on 1-26 at 1100 am eastern if you want to learn how to use the site>

you also want to calculate the implied move after earnings by dividing the nearest straddle or strangle cost by the stock price

To assess the price move expected by the market OptionSlam uses the current straddle/strangle pricing model. Presuming the rules of supply and demand provide for an efficient marketplace, we ascertain the expected price move will be approximately equal to the cost of the current straddle. Once an earnings date is confirmed OptionSlam begins to track the price of the ATM Straddle. Each day until the earnings date we apply our formula to determine the implied price move in advance. We don't know which way price is going to move after earnings but with this information we have a market based calculation of how far it is expected to move in one direction or the other. The IM (implied move) is a crucial piece of the puzzle when developing trade strategy and positioning. Go here for more information on the Implied Move.

Nflx was +18% move aapl was a -10% move cree was a +22% move

you casn go back and lokk at thinback tab under9( analyze) options on thinkorswim charts and see what happened to the stock vs it's actual % move> you can do this any time on any stocknear the close lets look at the spy and nflx from yesterday

spy close at 149.42 on 1-24 149.5 call was 0.36 and the 149.5 put was 0.32= 0.68/149.41= a +0.46% move and the up is based on the call being more exopensive than the put> high today 150.11/149.41= +041%

for nflx close on 1-24 146.86 when doing weeklies on thursdays you have to use the following weeklies to make your calculation for friday of 1-25-2012 150put> 7.30 = 145 call>8.15=15.45/147.86= 11% move up high today is 170/147= =15% move up
so knowing this info at 1545 yesterday you would of gotten the wekly 155 calls for 0.30(high 15$) or 160 weekly calls for 0.10 (hogh 10$ for either a 5000% or 10000% gain in 2 actual trading hours



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