| StockFetcher Forums · Filter Exchange · Yet another W%R filter | << >>Post Follow-up |
| graftonian 1,089 posts msg #128916 - Ignore graftonian |
6/3/2016 2:47:37 PM A while back, on a another thread papagatorga wrote: "I use Williams%R (30) has been above -20 for the past 3 days and price is between 7 and 13 and Williams%R(30) is above -20 and volume is over 300,000 and stock is not ETF This has performed very well in market bullish trends, one week, two weeks and one month It works well with all prices but I find more higher percentage gains in these price ranges. There seems to be some positive correlation with stocks who have declined in price the previous day. The W%R(30) comes from Big Trends, they have a complete trading strategy. If you combine this with stocks who have very recently given a Parabolic SAR Buy signal, it works very well I also use directional Index as a Confirmation.signal GOOD LUCK" Well, this got me thinking And I don't have enough to do, so I've tried to incorporate his ideas into one filter. But never being one to leave well enough alone, I did have to add a few personal touches. I've always said if someone would hold the mirror, I could do my own brain surgery. papagatorga, comments? |
| c1916 77 posts msg #128918 - Ignore c1916 |
6/3/2016 3:30:43 PM This is interesting...worth a bit of paper trading time and effort. One question I have out of the box is: What is the exit strategy? What is the counter move that would suggest the filter's conceit is no longer in effect? |
| graftonian 1,089 posts msg #128921 - Ignore graftonian |
6/3/2016 4:32:42 PM c1916 wrote: This is interesting...worth a bit of paper trading time and effort. One question I have out of the box is: What is the exit strategy? What is the counter move that would suggest the filter's conceit is no longer in effect? 1) Exit Strategy? I am sure others out there have better ideas. 2) I am not sure what you re asking. papagatorga stated this was a fair weather filter, so I add the SPY data to keep up with the market trend. If the market is trending down, I switch between SXPU and UPRO. |
| papagatorga 124 posts msg #128922 - Ignore papagatorga |
6/3/2016 4:35:14 PM I have no clue whatsoever as to what your filter does. Not a criticism, just I don't know coding. Seems to back test well for 1-3 weeks. A month or so ago when the market was performing very well, my filter produced many returns of over 20%. That is what really peaked my interest. At that time I scanned prices between 3-20. I was getting scans with over 100 stocks. Studying the results I found such a large percentage of the over 20% came from the 7-13 price range. The exit strategy as set by BigTrends is when the price closes out of the green (below -20) exit if the close is lower the next day. Your scan has a high percentage of winners but not a large list of high percentage winners. Of course my scan is also not showing a high percentage of big winners, except in the two week back test where it does a little better. I will be happy with any improvements, as long as we all can learn and make more money. . . |
| graftonian 1,089 posts msg #128925 - Ignore graftonian |
6/3/2016 6:50:02 PM Papa Gator (or should that be Mr. Gator), Thanks for your interest. What are your thoughts on sorting the results; I am leaning towards sorting on ADX descending, and limiting results to those stocks that have been above W%R for two or three days only. Basically the filter looks for stocks that have been above W%R for 2 or 3 days and ADX is above 20 and +DI and -DI are at least a plus 1 I added PSAR for your viewing pleasure, and scaled and added IFT to the W%R plot for my own grins and giggles. The SPY data is there to remind me this is a trend sensitive filter. But then, aint they all. Will work on your suggestions for a graceful exit. |
| graftonian 1,089 posts msg #128927 - Ignore graftonian |
6/3/2016 7:28:25 PM Well that didn't take long. The filter below returns stocks that meet your stated exit criterion (they fall below W%R =-20 and are lower the next day) after long run above -20. I then put in the PSAR, and use the change in PSAR to determine the exit. It seems PSAR is almost always a better deal. |
| papagatorga 124 posts msg #128931 - Ignore papagatorga |
6/4/2016 11:22:58 AM Selecting which stocks to buy, which are more likely to post big gains, has been a challenge I have not solved. Going back and looking at the charts the day they alerted has not helped. Nothing has jumped out at me indicating one will be more successful than another. I guess news could be a big factor but who can predict that. I found a small correlation with stocks who had declined in price the prior day. As stated before I tend to select those stocks that have a very recent PSAR buy signal thinking it may be 5-10 days before a sell signal. I consider BigTrends exit strategy but look at 30 minute chart, Psar, DI, MACD, OBV and how far above the EMA 50 the price is. Remember all investment strategies are subject to the individual who chooses them. I seldom use options, but like 5-20 days movers in low price stocks. This suits me well. I back test almost every scan that is posted in these forums and very recently have come across several scans that back test as well or better than W%R. I am no expert, there are numerous posters on here that are much more knowledgeable. I just try to be helpful when I can. GOOD LUCK. |
| Mactheriverrat 3,153 posts msg #128933 - Ignore Mactheriverrat modified |
6/4/2016 11:33:29 AM stocks below 25 and Average Day Range(30) above 5.50 do not draw Average Day Range(30) add column Average Day Range(30) and volume above 100000 market is not otcbb market is not etf Narrow your search! |
| graftonian 1,089 posts msg #128935 - Ignore graftonian |
6/4/2016 3:53:44 PM Good afternoon ah, age old problem of sorting the results. For some time I have believed that ADR was a logical choice, but more recently I have begun to use ADX, a measure of how strong the trend is. In fact I use it as part of the filter. Conventional wisdom says below 20 (or 25) is no trend, so on the W%R filter I exclude stocks below this and sort the remainder on ADX I spent all morning wrestling with the exit problem, ema, W%R, PSAR, no clear winner. Was it TRO that said "it aint what you trade, it's how you trade it"? I feel there is some correlation of the outcome of the trade with the shape of the IFT line leading up to the trade. I like to see a deep, smooth curve starting at or near the bottom. I used the term "pregnant curve" in another post. I have tried to define this curve in SF code with poor results. Maybe some of the pros out there might offer suggestions Enough rambling, it's lunch time. |
| StockFetcher Forums · Filter Exchange · Yet another W%R filter | << >>Post Follow-up |
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