EricSimpson1 1 posts msg #108234 - Ignore EricSimpson1 | 
10/1/2012 4:23:12 PM
  I'm trying to make a filter that plots the VIX divided by the true volatility of the S&P 500, and average this over a 20-day window.  
 
 It is based on this writing by Jeff Augen: 
 
 http://post.nyssa.org/nyssa-news/2010/12/a-new-indicator-for-predicting-market-corrections.html
 
 He claims that large spikes in the VIX/true ratio (usually >2) can signal the start of large declines in the stock market, and when this ratio falls below 1, that usually means the correction is over.  I want to test to see if this holds up but I'm new to stockfetcher filters.  Any help would be appreciated.
 
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BarTune1 441 posts msg #108237 - Ignore BarTune1 | 
10/1/2012 5:06:16 PM
  I can't help you with the filter but I have read Augen's books before and tried to trade off them.  Its cost me alot of money.  He is an academic whose theories sound good ... but I suspect he isn't a real trader ... else he would have given up his day job teaching.  I think he probably makes more off his books than he does trading.
 
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mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #108238 - Ignore mahkoh modified | 
10/1/2012 5:21:32 PM
  Don't think this is exactly what you're heading for, but it's a start.
 
  	    
 
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