15minoffame 131 posts msg #122326 - Ignore 15minoffame |
12/20/2014 11:19:16 PM
This task would've been much easier if SF, of course, would implement monthly statistics, but I digress. I would've gone further back, but SF will only allow you 800 previous calendar days. Still, it's interesting to see which stocks have done exceptionally well and exceptionally poor in the past two years.
The filter would even be more complete if someone could help me figure out how to write a count of current streak of winning months. I would love to also have a column for number of months in the past 2 years gaining 1-2%, 3-4%, and 5+.
I'd like to thank TRO for giving me the idea for this. While this filter is certainly not on the same plane as his Run Forest Run, maybe someone can still benefit from this. Feel free to point out any errors you see or any suggestions to make it even better!
Here's to a profitable 2015!
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novacane32000 331 posts msg #122362 - Ignore novacane32000 |
12/24/2014 1:19:37 PM
How would you trade using this filter?
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15minoffame 131 posts msg #122439 - Ignore 15minoffame modified |
12/31/2014 11:16:15 PM
I was trying to make a seasonality filter. Some stocks for whatever reason tend to do well in a certain month. It's too bad SF won't provide data more than 800 days. Nevertheless, the past two years can give you a start. Let's take LUV, the #1 stock in this filter. I'll plug it in Stockcharts Seasonality chart and it tells me that over the past 10 years, July has historically been its best month with a 80% win rate and an average gain of 6.1%.
Yes, it's a pain compiling it manually, but you'd be surprised how fast you can fill up each month with at least a handful of stocks. Of course, LUV won't do well EVERY July but you should at least have it on your radar by mid-June. That's how I did so well with AAPL in July. It's almost automatic with a 90% win rate & an avg gain of 9.2% over the past 10 years.
By the way, I would put LUV at the top of your watch list. It's currently on a 17 month winning streak! What's not to...ahem, LUV about that! :-)
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