laurentb
17 posts
msg #89321
- Ignore laurentb |
3/9/2010 2:48:15 PM
Besides my day- and swingtrading, I also manage an IRA account. Please share some market timing methods you have been using.
I have been using the 170 period moving average for the past years-> when declining stay in cash, when rising stay in stocks
This strategy backtests around 17% annualized over the past 15 years on the spy. Altough this is not that bad, I am sure better results are possible.
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gmg733
788 posts
msg #89333
- Ignore gmg733
modified |
3/9/2010 6:54:54 PM
My fellow M4M student. I was reading some of your dialog on another thread in regards to M4Ms methods. You seem to be a bit further ahead in the process than me. My day job keeps me from watching intraday so I have to rely on swing trading.
Anyhow, back to your question. I simply use the MA(12) on a monthly chart of the indices. Since these accounts are slow money hedges to my spec trading, I don't mind the time frame and this keeps me out of whipsaws in these accounts. My goal is capital preservation in a down turn and manage it very little. The goal of the spec trading is wealth creation. Above the MA, long. Below, in bonds or cash or income generation.
A little slower than your method, but less whipsaws.
Hope this helps.
gmg733
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #89342
- Ignore Eman93 |
3/9/2010 11:01:08 PM
That is the name of the game picking the tops and the bottoms....... the only difference is the scale of the chart...
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gmg733
788 posts
msg #89345
- Ignore gmg733 |
3/10/2010 12:31:04 AM
Pretty much.
How is the booya buy zone treating you Eman? I haven't dove into that one yet?
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Eman93
4,750 posts
msg #89348
- Ignore Eman93 |
3/10/2010 2:07:09 AM
Not doing the boyaa thing to much... working on timing the overall market.
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mystiq
650 posts
msg #89349
- Ignore mystiq |
3/10/2010 5:42:42 AM
Eman93
- Ignore Eman93 3/10/2010 2:07:09 AM
Not doing the boyaa thing to much... working on timing the overall market.
*Agreed* the market is up to something...I can feel it--> IMHO: Financials/Banks are nearing a TOP.....(-.-)
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gmg733
788 posts
msg #89353
- Ignore gmg733 |
3/10/2010 8:20:04 AM
@ Eman
Same here. Was a dunce and didn't get out of a 60% gainer.
Markets are hard to describe here. Some fairly good news out today about jobs bill. If market doesn't perform, we might see some relief in the SPY.
Extremely frustrated with all the government intervention in the market and the manipulation. But I guess I need to suck it up and trade the market I have.
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