jnafach
74 posts
msg #82157
- Ignore jnafach |
10/30/2009 7:29:25 PM
Well I am inteested if there is way to see if can know on each ETF that out of last 365 days for exmaple,
If there is gap up how many days it close higher than open and if there is gap down how many times it drop to the day so close is lower than open.
it seems quite frequent for me and if this is correct then if gapping up will buy at open and sell at close and vise versa
I appreciate all help
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #82168
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
10/31/2009 8:16:25 AM
Please do a search of the past forum threads. This is a well-TROdden road.
I have copied TRO's Gap Statistics filter, and added the line "and stock is ETF". Look at the filter construction and results - you can learn a lot from this one.
Based on my run of this filter,I reduced the gap filled % requirement from 80 to 70, to provide more hits.
Kevin
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trendscanner
265 posts
msg #82169
- Ignore trendscanner |
10/31/2009 8:49:29 AM
JNA, Kevin's mod to the TRO Fill The Gap filter may be of some help to you and is worth reviewing. Many times rather than continuing in the direction of the gap, individual stocks will reverse and close the gap during the day.
My reading of your post suggests that you're not looking to fade the gap but expecting the etf to continue for the rest of the day in the direction of the gap, and you would buy gap-ups in the morning and sell them at the end of the day, while doing the opposite for gap-downs (short them in the am, buy them back in pm).
The filter below may help give you some ideas about how to do that, using spy as an example. At least from a visual perspective, you can see where the gap-ups occurred. The chart is easier to read if you click on the 3 month enlarge link.
From looking at the chart, I think you're strategy could be successful many times, although there are occasions when it would not have worked for the spy. You might get more consistent results by matching gap-ups with confirmation from a slow stochastic or other indicator to confirm intermediate market direction.
SF doesn't allow a same day buy-sell strategy to be backtested. There is probably some other software available that could backtest that strategy.
For the filter above, you can delete the symlist line to see other etfs. And you can change the ">" to a "<" to look for gap downs.
There are probably other threads on the forum where ideas swing trading etfs are discussed.
best of luck
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Kevin_in_GA
4,599 posts
msg #82175
- Ignore Kevin_in_GA |
10/31/2009 10:18:18 AM
If you are looking for stocks where the gap is NOT filled, just change the selection criterion to "gapfilled <20". This will give you only those ETFs that did NOT fill the gap 80% of the time or greater. This will not tell you if the price went in the direction you want, though (it will only tell you that it did not fill the gap).
Alternatively, you can write the following:
If you run this filter early in the day (once the gap is identified), you have the statistical data in hand to determine for a given ETF if it is likely to close in the direction of the gap, or fade it.
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jnafach
74 posts
msg #82185
- Ignore jnafach |
10/31/2009 1:49:25 PM
sems fading gap is better option, now is there a way that we can back test and see if close position at close if do not fade , or close position when if fade the gap, how much would that make, I think the best seems to be IYT and XLV as have pretty decent volume and we need that to have very limited range between bid and ask
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